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Showing posts with label carbon price. Show all posts
Showing posts with label carbon price. Show all posts

Wednesday, December 8, 2021

Paying fossil fuel producers to store carbon dioxide

The Australian Government and fossil fuel industries have planned for over a decade to have taxpayers pay fossil fuel businesses to store carbon dioxide. 

Discussion on climate policy often raises the possibility of some carbon pricing mechanism. 

The preferred option of the Australian Government - to have taxpayers fund the storage of carbon dioxide - is ignored as though it is unthinkable.

Australia includes Carbon Capture and Storage in the Emissions Reduction Fund
Australia includes Carbon Capture and Storage in the Emissions Reduction Fund

The two different approaches can be easily understood in several other policy areas. 

As an example, consider the meat export industries in two countries - such as Australia and the U.S. 

Assume that beef producers in both countries need identical government-regulated export inspection services to assure the quality of the exports. 

Assume also that the cost of government-regulated export inspection services is identical in the two countries. 

The Australian Government, in line with policy of its economic advisors, considers that full cost recovery is the most rational method of funding the service it provides to beef producers. 

See for instance:

Australian Government Charging Framework

"The Australian Government Charging Framework (the Charging Framework) is a policy of the Australian Government. The Charging Framework covers activities where the government charges the non-government sector for a specific government activity such as, regulation, goods, services, or access to resources or infrastructure."

And the implications of implementing it:

Live exporters facing huge cost surges under Federal cost-recovery plan

The cost of an annual livestock export license in Australia will soar from $25,000 to over $100,000 under the latest round of cost recovery increases planned by the Federal Government.

As it does with other export sectors, the Federal Government aims to recover the full bureaucratic costs it incurs for certifying and regulating the livestock export industry, through a series of fees and charges imposed on livestock exporters.

Every five years or so the Federal Government reviews and updates the rates it charges with a view to ensuring full cost recovery from industry.

Suppose that the U.S. Government does not adhere to this economic philosophy, and provides its beef industry with the same services - at the same cost - but pays for the service from general revenue collected from taxpayers. 

In both countries, the same service is provided, but in the U.S. the cost is borne by taxpayers and so U.S. exporters - who do not bear the cost - do not need to recover the cost from the customers who import beef from the U.S. 

In Australia, the cost is borne by the beef industry. It needs to recover the cost by adding it to the price it charges its customers. 

The Australian beef producers are, as a result, at a commercial disadvantage to the competing beef exporters in the U.S. who are not charged for the service provided by the U.S.Government at no cost to them. 


Now, back to the public "blind spot" on alternatives to a carbon price...

While it may seem obvious to everyone that a carbon price is the way forward, it is only one of two ways to pay for reducing carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuels. 

With a carbon price, businesses that emit carbon dioxide bear the cost - through that carbon price - for emitting the carbon dioxide, and need to add that price on to the products they sell. 

This puts them at a commercial disadvantage to other businesses that provide alternate products that do not incur that cost. 

This is similar to the example of beef exporters, where one group bear the cost of a service, who are in competition with exporters in another country who are selling a competing product but without bearing any cost for the same service. 

The Australian Government has long planned to allow fossil fuel exporters to avoid the cost of carbon dioxide emissions. 

The most recent and clearest example is the measure announced in October 2021 to give Australian Carbon Credit Units (ACCUs) for carbon capture and storage. 

This measure is only the latest step in a sequence of measures put in place over several decades. Earlier steps were in preparation for regulating and licencing underground storage sites for carbon dioxide. 

Greenhouse Gas titles in Commonwealth waters in Australia
Greenhouse Gas titles in Commonwealth waters in Australia

The most recent step is the concluding step to address commercial viability of carbon capture and storage. It prevents carbon capture and storage being a cost to fossil fuel producers that they will only choose if a carbon price makes it cheaper to store carbon dioxide to avoid paying the carbon price.

Allocating Carbon Credits for storing carbon dioxide results in taxpayers paying for pumping carbon dioxide into the underground storage sites that are being licensed. 

This is like the hypothetical example of beef exporters where cost of the service is the same - in this case, storage instead of emitting carbon dioxide - but the cost is borne by taxpayers and not by the businesses that use the service.

Wednesday, August 22, 2018

A carbon policy thread


Cr Philip Penfold blocks advisor - too much advice
Cr Philip Penfold blocks advisor - too much advice


Maitland City Council

ORDINARY MEETING AGENDA 10 JULY 2012


17.2 REDUCTION OF METHANE GAS AT MT VINCENT WASTE SITE

NOTICE OF MOTION SUBMITTED BY CLR RAY FAIRWEATHER
File No: P44197
Attachments: Nil
Responsible Officer: David Evans - General Manager

Bernie Mortomore - Executive Manager Planning, Environment and Lifestyle


Clr Ray Fairweather has indicated his intention to move the following Notice of Motion at the next Council Meeting being held on Tuesday 10 July 2012:

THAT

  1. The General Manager provide a report to council on all possible options available to council for the reduction of methane gas at the Mt Vincent Waste Site;
  2. What are those options and if council can implement any of those options to reduce the huge carbon tax cost impost on our ratepayers ($2.2 million dollars in 2012/2013 budget);
  3. The report expand on the possible sale of methane gas to generate power for electricity grid and if such a venture would benefit council financially;
  4. The opportunity if one exists for the calling of tenders for the extraction of methane gas for commercial uses; and
  5. What is involved in the 'burning option' of reducing methane gas and carbon tax payments.

NOTES BY CLR RAY FAIRWEATHER

The $2.2 million cost of the carbon tax is a huge impost on ratepayers (though it is yet to be properly costed) that needs urgent investigation on all options available to reduce those costs and if economically beneficial should be given urgent priority.

RESPONSE BY EXECUTIVE MANAGER PLANNING, ENVIRONMENT AND LIFESTYLE

A reduction of methane gas emissions from any landfill can be made by reducing the quantity of organic matter buried at the site as methane gas generation is a product of decomposition of organic materials that are subject to anaerobic conditions. These conditions are found in a landfill.
In the landfill context if methane is being generated then a landfill gas extraction system can be installed to capture the gas, pass it through a flare to convert it to carbon dioxide and hence reduce the carbon footprint of the site. If there is sufficient and constant gas production the gas can be used to power a generator which will create electricity that can be either exported to the grid or used sacrificially on site.
Alternatively organic waste can be processed in aerobic conditions so that it does not convert the waste to methane. It will generate other gases but because methane is said to be more than 21 times more problematic than carbon dioxide the greenhouse gas outputs are reduced. Aerobic waste processing of total organic waste streams utilises some form of technology to control and manage the processes. Council will recall that a waste technology solution was explored through the HIR partnership prior to the project being abandoned.
Council has a contract in place to install a gas extraction system at the Mt Vincent Rd Waste Facility. This contract with LMS Energy was entered into on the basis that infrastructure costs and ongoing management of the system was borne by LMS Energy in return for the carbon credits generated minus a royalty payment to Council. The contract remains in place and commercial in confidence. The system is to be installed within the next 3 months and gas capture should commence towards the end of the year. At this stage the reduction effect on Council's carbon liability remains unknown. It will however reduce the gas emissions from the site.
Whether there will be sufficient gas generation from the site to generate power will be known once the system is commissioned. Given the system is being retrofitted the efficiencies of the gas capture are difficult to model.
A further detailed report can be provided to Council as required.

Page (270)

Saturday, June 3, 2017

Does Australia have the world's silliest mining industry?

Setting a new benchmark in silliness, the Australian mining industry made not one, not two, but three laughable media releases last month.


On 11 May 2017 Minerals Council of Australia made a bold "projection" on the future of coal mining in Australia. The "projection" made from data from the Resources and Energy March Quarterly of a government department report was that the coal industry had a great future - at least until 30 June 2017 - when the value of exports of thermal and metallurgical coal was expected to be almost $55 billion.

Not many investment decisions are made on the basis of a "projection" of the final two months of the current fiscal year. On this "projection" the Minerals Council of Australia made the silly declaration: "Myth 1 Australia's thermal coal exports are in decline...BUSTED "

The Resources and Energy March Quarterly the Minerals Council of Australia thought worthy of quoting contains real projections for the value of Australia's coal exports to 2021-22.

Those projections show a dramatic decline from the peak of $55 billion in 2016-17 to just $39.8 billion in 2021-22.
Australia's metallurgical coal exports

Australia's thermal coal exports


On 17 May 2017 Minerals Council of Australia issued another media release with the puzzling title "New Report: Low emission coal technology key to growth in South-East Asia".
What is puzzling about this title is that a report referenced in the media release, "Sylvie Cornot-Gandolfe, ‘The role of coal in Southeast Asia’s power sector’, Oxford Institute of Energy Studies, December 2016" notes that combined cycle gas turbine power plants are superior to coal power plants for Asia:
Natural gas-fired power plants are, however, cheaper and quicker to build than coal-fired power plants, have higher efficiencies and greater flexibility in plant operation, and above all emit less CO2 than coal power plants. (The cost of capital expenditure for combined cycle gas turbine (CCGT) plants is around half that of coal on a per kWe capacity basis and their CO 2 emissions are also half that of coal.)

The levelized cost of electricity generation (LCOE)14 is commonly used in national power development plans to compare the costs of different technologies. Based on IEA assumptions for the costs of capital, operation and maintenance, and finance, and using 2015 prices for coal and gas ($63.5/t for coal and $10.3/MMBtu for gas), the generating cost of a new supercritical (SC) coal plant is 35 per cent cheaper than the generating cost for a new CCGT plant (Figure 6). However, at August 2016 coal and gas prices, the generating costs for coal and gas are similar – even slightly cheaper for gas.

14The LCOE includes fixed costs, variable costs (operation and maintenance and fuel) and financing costs for new power plants. In order to make meaningful comparisons, it is necessary to make a range of assumptions about various costs and operating parameters of competing technologies, as well as assumptions on future coal and gas prices. coal and gas prices, the generating costs for coal and gas are similar – even slightly cheaper for gas.


Keeping the silliest announcement till last on 29 May 2017 Minerals Council of Australia issued another media release with the cryptic title "Government takes balanced view on low emission strategy".
The media release begins:
The Australian coal industry supports the government’s sensible policy which recognises the role of our high quality coal in helping to curb emissions.

If the policy intent is all about reducing emissions we should have a technology neutral approach and that means considering the opportunity coal offers when utilising both high efficiency low emission (HELE) and carbon capture and storage (CCS).

Including CCS in the Clean Energy Finance Corporation (CEFC) ambit strengthens our capacity to lower emissions in the supply of electricity.
It is what the media release doesn't say that is incredibly silly: if a power station operator can release CO2 into the atmosphere for free, then it is absurd to imagine any investment in capturing and storing that CO2.

The government which is led around by the Minerals Council of Australia has ruled out imposing any scheme to put a price on the release of CO2 into the atmosphere.


Friday, May 27, 2016

How Many Climate Policies Does the Coalition Have?

At the Paris COP21 talks in December 2015 the Australian Government signed on to the 1.5 degree warming target when it cut a deal with St Lucia, a Caribbean island nation, to back the target in exchange for being allowed to carry over its savings from the Kyoto Protocol.

Before this in June 2015 the Australian Government produced a booklet "Coal in India" with projections of India's demand for coal out to 2040. There are 3 different scenarios for these projections - via the International Energy Agency:
  • Current Policy Scenario which projects energy demand based on policies already in place.
  • New Policies Scenario which takes into account announced policies to reduce coal-fired energy production that haven't yet been implemented.
  •  The 450 scenario that projects coal demand where carbon emissions are limited to levels consistent with global warming increasing be 2 degrees Celsius.
Then on 13 May 2016 the Australian Government announced its support for expanding the Australian coal export industry based upon a projection that India's demand for coal would triple by 2040.

This is the "Current Policy Scenario" that the Australian Government charted in June 2015.

The Australian Government is now funding new coal fired power stations in India and Indonesia through the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank. It has allocated nearly $1 billion of taxpayer funds for this purpose.

Australian PM announces new commitments at Paris climate talks

Posted on 01 December 2015
Today world leaders gathered in Paris on a wave of historic momentum in the fight against climate change. An unprecedented 150 Heads of State will stand up and speak about climate change, demonstrating Climate Change is clearly at the top of the political agenda

Prime Minister Turnbull announced three new commitments including ratifying the second commitment period of Kyoto protocol, doubling clean technology R&D by 2020, and additional climate finance for vulnerable countries.

WWF welcomes the announcements as useful steps towards tackling the global problem of climate change, but Australia can and should do more, with current technology, as part of its fair share to limit global warming to 1.5 degrees.



Speech by Josh Frydenberg MP, Minister for Resources, Energy and Northern Australia
The Future and Growth of Mineral Exports, and the Policies to Support Mining Jobs and a Strong Economy
Date:   Friday, 13 May 2016 4:02 PM
Location:   NSW Mining Industry and Suppliers Conference, Sydney
Introductory remarks
I’d like to acknowledge my fellow speakers Stephen Galilee, CEO, NSW Minerals Council; and Dr Brian Fisher, Managing Director, BAEconomics.
It’s great to join you for your annual conference, my first since being appointed Minister for Resources, Energy and Northern Australia.
More than seven months into this role, I have been highlighting the work your members do to support the Australian economy and to support jobs.
The mining industry and commodity exports provide an economic lifeline for our regions and the rest of Australia.
And NSW has a special place in Australia’s commodity export trade.
Indeed, New South Wales—from the Hunter, through the Central West, to the Illawarra—has pride of place in Australian mining history.
Australia’s first commodity export started here in this state.
It’s been more than 200 years now since that happened—since the first shipment of coal left Newcastle.
Today, Newcastle boasts the world’s largest coal export terminal, delivering much-needed jobs and revenue to the state’s economy.
...
Challenges and Future Prospects
Of course, there are challenging market conditions facing the resources industry.
Like you, we continue to monitor the volatility on world commodity markets because any impacts extend to government finances as well.
We’ve come to the end of a decade long super cycle marked by record prices as a result of an unprecedented ramp up in demand. We’ve returned to more normal, cyclical patterns of demand.
Unfortunately these developments have resulted in job losses, particularly in resource-dependent towns and regions around the country.
These challenging market conditions are expected to continue for some time.
However, I’m confident that Australia is better placed than most other countries to ride out the current cyclical downturn and be ready for the next market upturn.
Our pre-eminence as a global resources and energy powerhouse is built on the Australian industry’s ability to innovate and adapt in the face of intense global competition and volatile prices.
An example of such innovation that will be well known here in NSW is Northparkes’ fully automated underground mining operations. The breakthrough, a world first, allows the mine to operate continuously 24/7, delivering optimal daily production at improved safety and reduced cost.
 ...
By 2020, India is forecast to overtake China, Japan and the EU to become the largest coal importer in the world as it seeks to almost treble coal fired power generation between now and 2040.

Coal in India, June 2015

Office of the Chief Economist

Department of Industry, Innovation and Science

Coal in India - June 2015

The IEA World Energy Outlook

The IEA WEO provides three scenarios for long term energy use and the mix of sources that will supply it.

The first is the Current Policies Scenario (CPS), which is essentially ‘business as usual’ and projects the trajectory for energy consumption and production based on economic, energy and climate change policies that are already in place. The second is the New Policies Scenario (NPS) which is the IEA’s central scenario and takes into account announced policies that are yet to be enacted.

For example, it includes policies announced by the United States to accelerate the decline of coal-fired electricity , which will take effect from 2017 at the earliest and announced measures by China to reduce local pollution and limit coal use.

The third scenario, the 450 scenario, models a world where carbon emissions are limited to levels consistent with global temperatures increasing by just 2 degrees Celsius. This scenario outlines a set of policies and actions that would produce a trajectory of energy related greenhouse-gas emissions consistent with this international goal.

India's coal demand, by scenario

Australia to contribute $930 million to Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank, Joe Hockey says



Australia will become a founding member of the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB), Treasurer Joe Hockey has announced.
...
Mr Hockey has committed to contributing $930 million into the bank over the next five years, making it the sixth largest shareholder.


New Beijing-backed Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank struggles to convince on environment and sustainability issues

Indonesia’s Ministry of Finance was quoted praising the AIIB's readiness to provide USD 1 billion in loans to Indonesia over the next four years, including for coal-fired power projects




Friday, May 6, 2016

Greg Hunt ignores coal mining impact on Great Barrier Reef

In the outline of submissions filed on behalf of Minister for the Environment, the Australian Government Solicitor explains that the minister did not think the burning of the coal “would be a substantial cause of climate change effects” and would have “no impact on matters of national environmental significance”.
He concluded that there “was no requisite relationship between combustion emissions and increases in global temperature”.
Further, the minister argued that since the net impact was “difficult to identify”, there was no need to impose conditions on the mine, such as that climate impacts would be offset.
“Put simply, because any increase in net global greenhouse gas emissions was a matter of speculation, there was no need for or utility in the imposition of conditions.”
These submissions on behalf of the minister fail to mention fugitive emissions from coal mining. His department revised projected fugitive emissions from coal mining in 2014-2015, dramatically lowering the 2012 projected impact of coal mining. 
Fugitive emissions projections

Australia’s emissions projections 2014-2015

Department of the Environment, March 2015

Fugitives

“In 2013–14 fugitive emissions from fossil fuels were 41 Mt CO 2 -e. This represented eight per cent of Australia’s total emissions. From 1999–2000 to 2013–14, fugitive emissions grew by 3 Mt CO 2 -e, or seven per cent.
Fugitive emissions arise from the production, processing, storage, transmission and distribution of fossil fuels such as coal, oil and natural gas. The greatest share of fugitive emissions comes from coal mining activities, including a small amount of emissions from decommissioned mines.
…
Rising export demand for Australia’s energy resources, particularly coal and LNG, is expected to lead to large increases in production volumes and fugitive emissions over the projections period. From 2013–14 to 2034–35, Australian coal production is expected to continue its recent strong rate of increase as global demand, particularly in China and India, increases.” (page 20)

Changes to the National Greenhouse Gas Inventory

“The incorporation of new NGERs data has resulted in recalculations throughout the time series for open cut coal mines and fugitive emissions from natural gas transmission sectors.” (page 29)

Changes to the emissions outlook

“Emissions from fugitives are projected to be 25 Mt CO 2 -e lower in 2019–20 than reported in the 2013 Projections. In particular, projections of fugitive emissions from coal mines are lower as a result of three main factors. First, production forecasts have been revised downwards since the 2013 Projections, after recent falls in global coal prices caused by surplus supply and relatively weak demand. Second, the projections assume a higher rate of flaring than in the 2013 Projections. Third, more accurate emissions factors have been applied.” (page 29)

Australia’s emissions projections 2015-2016

Department of the Environment, December 2015

This publication has been relabelled "Tracking to 2020: an interim update of Australia's greenhouse gas emissions projections" and further revises downwards fugitive emissions from coal mining.

Fugitives

Coal

"Fugitive emissions from coal are projected to be around 9 Mt CO 2 -e lower in 2019–20. Australian coal production, although expected to grow strongly, is projected to be lower than in the 2014–15 projections.

This is due to:
  • world coal supply growing faster than import demand, and coal prices falling as a result; and
  • a number of high cost producers having ceased production." (page 25)

Greg Hunt's approval for the massive new Adani coal mine seems in conflict with the reasons his department has lowered projected fugitive emissions from coal.